The year 2015 started better than 2014 was not completed on the employment front . The number of unemployed persons (category A) in France fell 0.5% in the first months of the year, 19,100 unemployed less.
There is therefore 3,481,600 applicants for jobs in France (+ 4.8% year over year).
A first rather encouraging trend for 2015, when the government hopes to see unemployment decline under the combined effect of its policies and a more favorable international environment.
Unemployment down 1.5% in young
The year 2014 was the number of job seekers (categories A, B, C) increased by 16100 ( + 0.3%) in December and 6.2% over the year, to $ 5,232,100 in mainland France. a figure that rises to 5530600 with Dom.
In detail, unemployment has remained stable for the short Pool (Class B + 4.4% over a year) and increased 3 4% for long reduced activity (category C, 12.0% year on year).
For youth, the number of jobseekers in category A under 25 fell 1.4% in January. Most affected by the increase are the more than 50 years, the number has increased from 10.4% in 2014, and are the only age group that saw unemployment increase in January (+ 0.1% in category A)
Valls. “encouragement to continue”
The figures just released are “an encouragement to continue” while as “consumer confidence is improving” and “the latest investment figures in the right direction,” responded Manuel Valls a press conference at Matignon, after a meeting with the social partners on social dialogue.
“There is no inexorable rise of unemployment”, launched at the beginning of President François Hollande, who since his election in May 2012, could not prevent the entry of 572,500 additional unemployed job center. End of 2014, the public employment service accounted indeed 3,496,000 unemployed no activity in France, a record.
The government’s strategy
To curb the phenomenon, the government put on improving the economic climate, but also hopes to reap the dividends of his pact responsibility, and in the longer term, the Macron law and future legislation on social dialogue.
The Minister of Labour François Rebsamen, who put together a plan against unemployment long and relies on the improved economic environment to bring back growth and thus employment. According to him, the indicators such as “drop in oil prices,” the euro, the policy of the European Central Bank, “the Juncker plan” European investment “show that we can be more optimistic than 2014 “. For its part, the INSEE considering in its latest forecast a “slight acceleration in activity” in the first half and a rise in power of the Covenant of responsibility and solidarity “would further limit a little more losses ‘merchants jobs.
But the government also relies on the Macron bill to “unlock the French economy.” Or his parliamentary path collides with the Socialist deputies “rebellious” and the government had to force its adoption in first reading in the National Assembly by resorting to Article 49-3 of the Constitution. These figures also fall on the day of a meeting between Prime Minister Manuel Valls and labor organizations on a reform of social dialogue in companies that hope creative jobs. He resumed their hands on this thorny issue after the failure of negotiations between social partners, announced earlier in the day a draft law to end of March.
INSEE remains pessimistic for the beginning of the year
While these factors may promote recovery, economists do not expect an immediate impact on unemployment, which fall, according to them, that beyond 1.5% growth. The government expects growth of 1% in 2015. In addition to the Institute of Statistics, the net job creation, estimated at 18,000 in the first half, not enough to absorb new entrants to the market work, more than 100,000 each year. INSEE anticipates an increase by the unemployment rate in mid-2015 to 10.2% in France and 10.6% with the overseas territories.
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