Thursday, July 7, 2016

Microsoft predicted an in extremis defeat of France against Germany – Le Figaro

According to predictive analysis tools, France winning or losing in the semi-final draw.

If the France wins tonight is that the figures will be deceived. To believe several predictive analytics tools, the Blues did not advance to the final of Euro 2016. The German team has 52% chance to win against the Blues, according to AI microsoft. A low score of probability which still leaves a silver ounce to French supporters. The bear Mascha Hamburg Zoo agrees that Microsoft and predicted victory for his compatriots.

It is tempting to rely instead on calculi Kickoff.ai of the intelligence tool artificial developed by the Federal Polytechnic School of Lausanne, which announces the victory of France with a probability of 55%. Since the start of the Euro, Blue Yonder table on a French victory. The German company (!), Specializing in Artificial Intelligence, believes that France has 34.1% chance of winning the Euro, far ahead of Germany, credited with 9.8%. For their part, analysts at Goldman Sachs also expect since the beginning of the final victory of France.

For reassurance, you may also remember that Google was wrong in its forecasts at of the World Cup 2014. Its predictive analysis tool had given France 69% chance of winning against Germany … which has not happened. No prediction tool is not reliable because none incorporates a key element of the sport: the chance. “All the public interest lies in suspense and ‘glorious uncertainty’ sport. The team announced as the best can not win, because every game is played with undetermined variables, “explains the Le Figaro sports economist Pierre Rondeau.

to predict the outcome of a football match, the predictive analytics feed amount of statistics. They take account of sports data, such as the performance of players, the rate of ball possession, the number of shots fired or above goals. Extra-sports data also come in. Microsoft and analyzing what is said on each team through social networks. The weather, the match venue and even the travel time between the hotel and the stadium the players are important. Tonight, at the Velodrome stadium in Marseille, teams should start their game under 30 ° C. One degree more or less can reverse the verdict computers.

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